The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now 49¢

Will Artur Minev win by KO or TKO?

Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 49¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official ufc data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official UFC data.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 46.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.