The market moved
-11.5ppin 24h · now 12¢
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK Kolos Kovalivka: O/U 4.5
Sports · resolves May 13 · vol $27.47
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 2.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.