The market moved

-7.0ppin 24h · now 27¢

Will Anish Giri win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?

Other · resolves May 25 · vol $1.02

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 27¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.