The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 55¢
Will David Collenberg advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?
Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $1.06
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 55¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on sos.ca.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: sos.ca.gov — https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.