The market moved
-3.5ppin 24h · now 36¢
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?
Other · resolves May 25 · vol $1.06
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 36¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
