The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 92¢

Will King Charles say "Government" 3+ times during State Opening?

Culture · resolves May 13 · vol $225.72

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 92¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on parliament.uk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: parliament.uk — https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/occasions/stateopening/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.