The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 43¢

Will King Charles say "War" during State Opening?

Culture · resolves May 13 · vol $21.30

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 43¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on parliament.uk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: parliament.uk — https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/occasions/stateopening/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.