The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 42¢
Will "Knife" be said 10+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?
Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $11.34
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on @eslcs — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @ESLCS — https://www.youtube.com/@ESLCS.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 5.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.