Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 32.5pp shift. Resolution depends on which show this update ranks as the #2 global netflix show — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.