The market moved

+27.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of May 11 2026?

Business · resolves May 15 · vol $2.2K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 27.0pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
  • Market resolves in 29.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+27.0pp · Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of May 11 2026? | Orrery