The market moved

-1.9ppin 24h · now

Will Slovenia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

Other · resolves May 31 · vol $1.3K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.