The market moved

-22.1ppin 24h · now

Will Trump say "My Father" or "Fred" during Bret Baier interview?

Politics · resolves May 15 · vol $463.09

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 22.1pp shift. Resolution depends on sg.finance.yahoo.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: sg.finance.yahoo.com — https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.