The market moved

-11.0ppin 24h · now 35¢

Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

Politics · resolves May 17 · vol $231.62

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 35¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

  • No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.