The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 30¢

Will "Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)" win Best Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Sports · resolves Jun 7 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 30¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.tonyawards.com/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.