The market moved
-4.9ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 Week of May 11 2026?
Other · resolves May 15 · vol $379.99
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.9pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 42.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.