The market moved
+1.5ppin 24h · now 52¢
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5
Sports · resolves May 14 · vol $28.05
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 52¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source on Polymarket — the market description names where settlement comes from.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 18.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.