The market moved

-41.5ppin 24h · now 13¢

New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5

Sports · resolves May 15 · vol $4.8K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 13¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 41.5pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source on Polymarket — the market description names where settlement comes from.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.