The market moved

+3.5ppin 24h · now 54¢

Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 169.5

Sports · resolves May 16 · vol $1.1K

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 54¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source on Polymarket — the market description names where settlement comes from.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 5.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+3.5pp · Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 169.5 | Orrery