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Orrery Pulse
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 13?
1% current
7D range
1-50%
Net move
-48.9pp
24h volume
$9k
7 day implied probability chart
May 13
50% decision line
May 13
Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.
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⌘K
Snapshot
snap_2026-05-13T14-52Z
LIVE
family · 14Z
Live markets
200
63↑ / 69↓
Resolutions <72h
29
all tracked
24h volume
$75.8M
across 200
Data confidence
High
10:52 ET