Novel-Bear
0x000126b7968a0c6d1912233dc15b63f1a1ffbfa0
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$58.57
Total PnL
$-6.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
15 shares @ 67.3¢·now 59.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$8.77
$-1.23
- NO
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 28.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.78
$2.78
- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
22 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$6.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- ALEX PEREIRA
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$4.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Trump say "World Cup" this week?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$3.16
$-1.84
- YES
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.96
$-0.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.13Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$30.58Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$7.14Jun 13, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$5.08Jun 13, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?$3.03Jun 13, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$5.10Jun 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10.10Jun 12, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$3.00Jun 12, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "World Cup" this week?$5.04Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "UFC" this week?$5.04Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$5.08Jun 12, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.03Jun 12, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$2.02Jun 12, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.11Jun 12, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$43.10Jun 12, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$25.88Jun 12, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.26Jun 12, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$44.64Jun 12, 19:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $19.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.