Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Probability
17¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$243.7K
Liquidity
$798.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2068.1h
- 19:52SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2068h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYHAMISH STEWART4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- SELLOVER4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- SELLNO4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jul 20, 2026
- Resolution source
- UMA status
- n/a
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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