Substantial-Bratwurst
0x00085583a8bed6e0fef83387c0f9a3753f00efa9
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$9.02
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$20.30
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
657 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.59
$-12.81
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.12
$-1.88
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.31
$-4.69
- B8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 2 Winner
1545 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-124.84
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- HEROIC
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
1263 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-195.70
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
1190 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-225.65
- DPLUS KIA
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
934 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-327.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
877 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.14
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$162.28Jun 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$19.12May 29, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$19.30May 29, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$8.88Apr 16, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs$32.37Mar 30, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs$9.63Mar 30, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$12.00Mar 24, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$10.00Mar 24, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$72.73Mar 24, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$100.00Mar 15, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$40.00Mar 15, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$6.00Mar 8, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$22.82Mar 8, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$0.33Mar 8, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$1.95Mar 8, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$0.66Mar 8, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$1.95Mar 8, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$0.53Mar 8, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$19.76Mar 8, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$8.00Mar 8, 05:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $36.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 22:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.