Stylish-Desert
0x00201a916e50005f9c7b105d65a1aec0f094f36b
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.15
Total PnL
$-275.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.15
$-11.80
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
250 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
127 shares @ 50.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-64.00
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
87 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1
80 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 win on 2025-10-29?
61 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
54 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$15.53Jul 1, 12:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $18.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 11:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.