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OtherExpires Jun 30, 2026

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Probability

23¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$68.4K

Liquidity

$41.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.5pp 7d
Apr 17, 2026, 20:00Apr 24, 2026, 19:50
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1600.2h

    LOW
  • 19:50Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1600h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 19:50Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -13.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -17.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -18.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -14.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

12
Same eventStarmer out by...?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution source
UMA status
n/a
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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