Drafty-Gratitude-Hatred
0x002375571638c383a59859e43cc5323cda34cb65
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.09
Realised
$-0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?
1360 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
487 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.38
- YES
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
18 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$4.55May 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.59May 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?$1.41May 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 13, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.17May 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.18May 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$4.97May 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$5.02May 13, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$15.00May 13, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.09May 13, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.14May 13, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$3.33May 13, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.17May 13, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$11.39May 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.70May 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.06May 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.00May 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.07May 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.91May 12, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $5.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 01:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.