Good-Natured-Mink
0x0035bb10edbe5e99cdc704d7b2211eb60a7f9093
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$541.42
Total PnL
$27.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
556 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$528.61
$28.61
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 19.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.51
$-0.49
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
3 shares @ 58.6¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.31
$-0.69
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Spain finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jul 14, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jul 14, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jul 14, 07:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.64Jul 12, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.17Jul 12, 03:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jul 11, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jul 11, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.14Jul 11, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.33Jul 11, 07:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?$0.99Jul 10, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.24Jul 10, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.33Jul 10, 01:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.00Jul 9, 09:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.11Jul 8, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $0.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.