Avaricious-Kale
0x004f618b49d7f38300195971df1d34ead09c9612
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$384.20
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$123.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
371 shares @ 59.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$185.50
$-33.39
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
98 shares @ 65.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.96
$-12.74
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
144 shares @ 34.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$34.48
$-14.36
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
219 shares @ 24.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.81
$-19.69
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
257 shares @ 11.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$21.95
$-8.06
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
194 shares @ 12.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.60
$-12.40
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
89 shares @ 28.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.16
$-13.84
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
89 shares @ 28.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.16
$-13.84
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
120 shares @ 17.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.57
$-11.83
- YES
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
159 shares @ 8.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.60
$-9.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?$25.99Jun 11, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$25.00Jun 11, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$48.84Jun 11, 20:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$126.07May 30, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$55.00May 30, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $47.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.