OtherExpires Jan 1, 2027

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Probability

44¢

+2.5pp

24h

-4.0pp

24h Vol

$4.5K

Liquidity

$27.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

-13.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:12

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors

1
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 44¢; +2.5pp in the last hour.
2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 6015.8h
LOW
13:12Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
12:00Price
Probability down -4.5pp
to 42¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 8.5pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability up 8.5pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 8.0pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 8.0pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 49¢
MEDIUM
04:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -7.0pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -5.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -5.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -8.0pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -7.0pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -7.0pp
to 42¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.5pp
to 42¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -7.0pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.5pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -5.5pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jan 1, 2027
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket