0x00665ee1f4f70b3b79ba0620318e1bae5cc4999f
0x00665ee1f4f70b3b79ba0620318e1bae5cc4999f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$89.86
Total PnL
$-21.07
Realised
$-20.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
84 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$45.87
$-0.42
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
22 shares @ 89.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$19.59
$0.03
- NO
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
11 shares @ 90.4¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$9.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Gina Swoboda be the Arizona Secretary of State Republican nominee?
11 shares @ 92.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$9.90
$0.00
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.52
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Swoboda be the Arizona Secretary of State Republican nominee?$9.98Jul 12, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$4.53Jul 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$10.09Jul 12, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev$24.59Jul 12, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$19.74Jul 12, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev$20.33Jul 12, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.07Jul 12, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.39Jul 12, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-11?$0.00Jul 12, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?$41.39Jul 12, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$0.00Jul 12, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$11.62Jul 11, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$11.63Jul 11, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?$39.80Jul 10, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-07-11?$39.73Jul 10, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$73.01Jul 10, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$73.07Jul 10, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$11.61Jul 10, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$11.59Jul 10, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$88.07Jul 10, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $26.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 11:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 19:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.