Hidden-Faithful
0x0086cb69cb8540e5561ba1968718e3b305631b8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$10.42
Total PnL
$-34.0K
Realised
$-113.91
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
99558 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-32.1K
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
3025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?
1994 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-353.54
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?
1961 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1933 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-501.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
1700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1280 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- FRANCE
France vs. England: Team to Win
741 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.07Jul 22, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.07Jul 22, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.66Jul 22, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$5.24Jul 22, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$2.10Jul 22, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.00Jul 22, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.52Jul 22, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$5.32Jul 22, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.26Jul 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.02Jul 22, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$18.70Jul 22, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.26Jul 22, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$2.12Jul 22, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.00Jul 22, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$6.34Jul 22, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$2.51Jul 22, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$5.08Jul 22, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$5.17Jul 22, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.00Jul 22, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$9.02Jul 22, 02:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 01:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 02:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.