Faithful-Topsail
0x0087262f6d2aa1eb618f8fa25852ce29bbd2f099
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-59.29
Realised
$-0.77
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Elon tweet 410–424 times August 8–August 15?
157 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be 6+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NBA Finals?
80 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15?
65 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will there be 5+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NBA Finals?
60 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.64
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on July 8?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026?
50 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 14?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will Vance's remarks not air?
50 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$9.82Aug 7, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?$17.85Jul 16, 07:21 UTC
- REWARD$1.52Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.7B?$18.96Jul 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$18.40Jul 10, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?$0.29Jul 10, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by July 31?$0.21Jul 10, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?$0.25Jul 10, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?$0.19Jul 10, 05:23 UTC
- REWARD$11.05Jul 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by July 31?$0.16Jul 9, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by July 31?$16.35Jul 9, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by July 31?$3.01Jul 9, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?$0.36Jul 9, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Spain" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?$0.20Jul 9, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "History" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?$0.40Jul 9, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on July 9?$0.20Jul 9, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 9?$0.08Jul 9, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on July 9?$0.00Jul 9, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$18.40Jul 9, 18:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 05:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.