Faithful-Topsail
0x0087262f6d2aa1eb618f8fa25852ce29bbd2f099
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$57.40
Total PnL
$-36.15
Realised
$-0.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
40 shares @ 98.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$39.00
$-0.28
- YES
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$17.80
$-0.40
- YES
Will Aday Mara be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?
20 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.35
$0.27
- NO
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?
20 shares @ 94.8¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.24
$-18.72
- NO
Will Keaton Wagler be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft?
20 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.01
$-0.19
- YES
Will Elon tweet 410–424 times August 8–August 15?
157 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be 6+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NBA Finals?
80 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15?
65 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will there be 5+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NBA Finals?
60 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026?
50 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Aday Mara be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.02Jun 24, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aday Mara be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.02Jun 24, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aday Mara be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.02Jun 24, 00:23 UTC
- REWARD$16.60Jun 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?$39.28Jun 23, 23:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.45Jun 23, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYArcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?$0.06Jun 23, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026?$0.15Jun 23, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?$18.96Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keaton Wagler be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.20Jun 23, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aday Mara be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.02Jun 23, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Messi" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?$0.02Jun 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on June 23?$0.09Jun 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026?$0.53Jun 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?$0.70Jun 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?$1.45Jun 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?$47.70Jun 23, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Messi" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?$0.60Jun 23, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?$3.83Jun 23, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026?$0.38Jun 23, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.