Livid-Accountability
0x00b2f4413013a02f0ce06a3cc02e7db8b98dcf16
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- HAWKS
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)
18000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-9.0K
- UNDER
Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5
14121 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-6.6K
- HEAT
Heat vs. Celtics
11500 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.5K
- $60K
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
7384 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.8K
- UNDER
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5
4898 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- UNDER
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5
4356 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- UNDER
Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5
2130 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UNDER
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5
2128 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$8.74May 14, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.92May 14, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLState of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? $9.60May 14, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$30.82May 14, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$253.47May 14, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$880.00Apr 22, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$136.11Apr 21, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$580.00Apr 20, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$101.64Apr 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$126.64Apr 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$10.00Apr 20, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$168.57Apr 6, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$19.78Apr 6, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.38Apr 6, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.33Apr 6, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.67Apr 6, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.33Apr 6, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.50Apr 6, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$50.00Apr 6, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$100.00Apr 6, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $170.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 01:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 11:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.