BusinessMulti-outcomeExpires —

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Probability

72¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-2.5pp

24h Vol

$334.25

Liquidity

$21.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 10:00Apr 26, 2026, 09:30
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 72¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $21.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Price movement

-2.5pp over the last 24h, now 72¢.

Biggest hourly move: +5.5pp at 2d ago (to 77¢).

Show top 8 of 28 hourly moves
  • 2d ago · +5.5pp → 77¢
  • 2d ago · +5.5pp → 77¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 76¢
  • 2d ago · +5.5pp → 77¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 76¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 76¢
  • 2d ago · +5.5pp → 77¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 76¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

8
Same eventWho will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
—
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros
Type
Ambiguous wording
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

20 wallets
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