Disastrous-Lament
0x00d1c494b4d34919c6a25127a65d745df2ce642f
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$337.13
Total PnL
$-3.11
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
133 shares @ 90.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$125.90
$5.89
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
77 shares @ 90.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$66.90
$-3.10
- NO
Will voter turnout be 60%+ in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
77 shares @ 91.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$63.87
$-6.13
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
51 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.77
$0.77
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- NO
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10 shares @ 97.4¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
11 shares @ 89.8¢·now 87.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.77
$-0.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$20.11May 18, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.05May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.04May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.10May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 60%+ in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.08May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$20.08May 17, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.01May 15, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$30.13May 14, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$0.03May 13, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$21.76May 13, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$30.77May 13, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$104.45May 11, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$35.01May 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$52.45May 7, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$13.01May 7, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$50.22May 2, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$50.05May 2, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$50.15May 2, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 60%+ in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$50.17May 2, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$51.90Apr 30, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $36.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 11:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".