EntertainmentExpires Jun 30, 2026

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Probability

8¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$143.26

Liquidity

$4.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.2pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:36
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1563h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $4.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1563.4h

    LOW
  • 20:36Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1563h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 8¢.

Biggest hourly move: +3.9pp at 2d ago (to 8¢).

Show all 3 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 2d ago · +3.9pp → 8¢
  • 2d ago · +3.2pp → 9¢
  • 2d ago · +3.3pp → 9¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

2
Same eventTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by...?

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift's marriage takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resole to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket