0x00d20c20cf503ff9fa9bd377684bb26f0f90b8c6
0x00d20c20cf503ff9fa9bd377684bb26f0f90b8c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$0.06
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$232.43
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
1 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.06
$-0.06
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
13254 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-87.57
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
4630 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-63.92
- YES
Will Trump say "Bestseller" or "Ticket" during the announcement on Thursday?
4038 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-16.15
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the US strike Colombia next?
1651 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the US strike Mexico next?
1500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?
1300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will the US strike Cuba next?
1075 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.89
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
1028 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$18.33Jul 6, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$19.48Jul 6, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$19.38Jul 6, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$19.61Jul 6, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$35.71Jul 5, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$35.52Jul 5, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$34.82Jul 5, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$29.85Jul 5, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMLionel Messi: 1+ goals$24.99Jul 4, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 3+ goals$12.32Jul 3, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$15.82Jul 3, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$17.16Jul 3, 22:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$84.84Jul 2, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals$9.23Jul 2, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$24.52Jul 2, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$34.00Jul 2, 15:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $31.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 01:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.