Jam-Packed-Pence
0x00d42897cd1b6eb2c90d0f274601ff1ac76bfc37
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$6.17
Total PnL
$-202.55
Realised
$5.81
Win rate
56%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
87 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.43
$0.39
- YES
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
133 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.13
$0.07
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
182 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$-0.09
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
133 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.93
$-0.13
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
133 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.87
$-0.20
- YES
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
133 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.47
$-0.60
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
133 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.33
$-0.73
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.