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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Nov 7, 2028

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.1pp

24h Vol

$384.9K

Liquidity

$1.8M

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 17, 2026, 19:00Apr 24, 2026, 18:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 22253.8h

    LOW
  • 18:11Signal

    Signal · Clustered NO flow

    25 trades ($5,882) aligned on NO across 22 wallets in the last 30 min.

    HIGH
  • 18:11Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 22254h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 18:07Trade

    Motionless-Artifact · SELL YES $5.3K

    @ 88¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Nov 7, 2028
Resolution source
UMA status
n/a
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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