Smoggy-Itinerary
0x00d91e586c889926719d7400cf25ccb02a83b547
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$35.41
Total PnL
$-82.63
Realised
$11.75
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
29 shares @ 14.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.01
$15.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$4.76
$3.76
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.74
$-0.22
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
1 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.49
$1.00
- YES
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 74.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.34
$0.34
- YES
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.15
$0.15
- YES
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 5.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?$1.00Mar 15, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$5.14Mar 15, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?$0.48Mar 15, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 11?$3.85Mar 11, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?$1.57Mar 9, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$0.55Mar 9, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$5.50Mar 9, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$1.00Mar 9, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 9?$0.24Mar 9, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 9?$2.63Mar 9, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 8?$3.03Mar 9, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 9?$4.05Mar 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 11?$1.00Mar 9, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 11?$1.65Mar 9, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 9?$0.40Mar 9, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 11?$0.60Mar 9, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 9?$0.03Mar 9, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 11?$3.60Mar 9, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 11?$4.60Mar 9, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 11?$3.70Mar 9, 11:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".