Miserable-Ecumenist
0x00e17d187d99e61e45c01853a763a2c468c6a1a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$33.91
Total PnL
$-133.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
32 shares @ 94.3¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$29.46
$-0.72
- UNDER
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$3.46
$0.03
- NO
Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
240 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-129.60
- NO
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- NUGGETS
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$129.60Jul 5, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5$3.43Jul 5, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?$1.04Jul 5, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMPanama vs. England: Panama O/U 2.5$2.40Jul 5, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. England: Panama O/U 2.5$2.34Jun 27, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?$2.00Jun 27, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$30.18Jun 5, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?$2.00Jun 5, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Jun 5, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.00Jun 5, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?$2.00Jun 5, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 May 18-24?$3.00Jun 5, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?$25.50Jun 5, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?$25.47May 22, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 May 18-24?$3.00May 22, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?$2.00May 22, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers$30.00May 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers$7.21May 10, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers$22.49May 10, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 53°F or below on April 22?$1.00May 10, 01:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $13.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 11:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.