Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Probability
94¢
1h
-0.3pp
24h
-2.6pp
24h Vol
$220.5K
Liquidity
$41.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+59.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6034.9h
- 18:06SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6035h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 80.8pp
to 94¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 79.1pp
to 95¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 76.2pp
to 95¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 75.8pp
to 93¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 74.8pp
to 94¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 75.4pp
to 94¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 74.6pp
to 94¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 75.3pp
to 94¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 65.8pp
to 93¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 67.5pp
to 93¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 69.6pp
to 93¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 68.1pp
to 95¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 57.5pp
to 94¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 56.6pp
to 92¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 56.5pp
to 90¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 70.0pp
to 96¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 81.2pp
to 96¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 78.8pp
to 98¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 65.0pp
to 94¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 37.5pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.0pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYREAL MADRID CF4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYBETBOOM TEAM4m ago
- BUYNO4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MegaETH officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- Resolution source
- UMA status
- n/a
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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