Unfit-Equity
0x00e4f62dfedbfcad403765e5e81897a43cfedb65
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$126.06
Total PnL
$-60.95
Realised
$1.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1526 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.66
$-6.34
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
364 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.27
$1.27
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.83
$0.84
- NO
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$19.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.80
$-4.20
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.95
$2.95
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.92
$1.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Australia end in a draw?$20.13Jun 19, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$5.35Jun 19, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$4.23Jun 19, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?$3.57Jun 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$3.90Jun 18, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$0.02Jun 18, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Jun 18, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$5.22Jun 18, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$12.33Jun 18, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$0.16Jun 18, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$0.22Jun 18, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$10.06Jun 18, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$3.03Jun 18, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?$3.01Jun 18, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$3.02Jun 18, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$3.02Jun 18, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-18?$3.07Jun 18, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$3.06Jun 18, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$3.04Jun 18, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 03:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.