Delirious-Buzzard
0x00fa1da7d2b8baa703a1d3554b5d1338be9030be
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.23
Total PnL
$-18.8K
Realised
$-53.09
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
250000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-249.76
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
200000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-199.81
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-99.90
- YES
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
36685 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.97
- YES
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
32340 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will Ali Motahari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
29797 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
28967 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
28035 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.97
- YES
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
27993 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?$1.0KJul 20, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$377.41Jul 20, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$104.10Jul 13, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the World Cup?$104.08Jul 13, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$103.68Jul 13, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?$100.00Jul 13, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$99.99Jul 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?$99.99Jul 13, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?$99.99Jul 13, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?$99.99Jul 13, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?$100.00Jul 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$52.00May 22, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$104.00May 22, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$104.00May 22, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$104.00May 22, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$104.00May 22, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$104.00May 22, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$800.00May 22, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$400.00May 22, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$619.66May 22, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $203.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 19:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 17:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.