Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

• BUYDOWN
  Velvety-Semicolon$9.57@ 60¢
  3h ago
• BUYDOWN
  0x8176…709a$2.13@ 85¢
  3h ago
• BUYYES
  Overdue-Newspaper$3.27@ 12¢
  3h ago
• BUYUP
  Royal-Ashtray$0.96@ 41¢
  3h ago
• BUYDOWN
  Vengeful-Basil$10.59@ 61¢
  3h ago
• BUYDOWN
  Idolized-Scallops$10.01@ 54¢
  3h ago
• SELLDOWN
  Earnest-Pendant$79.45@ 60¢
  3h ago
• BUYOVER
  Delightful-Crystal$0.99@ 61¢
  3h ago
• SELLYES
  Monstrous-Dew$5.00@ 100¢
  3h ago
• BUYDOWN
  Fragrant-Product$0.97@ 60¢
  3h ago
• BUYDOWN
  Hard-Counter$14.76@ 61¢
  3h ago
• BUYFIONA FERRO
  Happy-Go-Lucky-Min$14.50@ 81¢
  3h ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.