Clear-Screenwriting
0x011f2d377e56119fb09196dffb0948ae55711122
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$511.8K
Total PnL
$250.1K
Realised
$179.9K
Win rate
75%
125 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
195522 shares @ 56.8¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$165.9K
$54.9K
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
51388 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$50.9K
$-37.67
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
161688 shares @ 19.1¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$28.3K
$-2.5K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
68206 shares @ 43.9¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.7K
$-7.2K
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
53777 shares @ 43.8¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.8K
$-1.8K
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
35557 shares @ 48.4¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.1K
$2.9K
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
16292 shares @ 85.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.1K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
137795 shares @ 5.8¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.2K
$4.2K
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
32803 shares @ 39.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.3K
$-1.5K
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
10470 shares @ 93.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.1K
$339.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.50Jun 13, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jun 13, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.96Jun 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.05Jun 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.01Jun 13, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.08Jun 13, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.09Jun 13, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.17Jun 13, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.08Jun 13, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.12Jun 13, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.06Jun 13, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$82.00Jun 13, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.18Jun 13, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.82Jun 13, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.14Jun 13, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.02Jun 13, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.01Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.33Jun 13, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?$6.00Jun 13, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.33Jun 13, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $16.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 125 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.