Joint-Airfare
0x0122ba971ea29f4401bfe10b5c2681b2856ae9b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$139.22
Total PnL
$-845.20
Realised
$-394.93
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
130 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$130.13
$0.13
- JEREMIAH WELLS
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$9.09
$8.09
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?
1200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on March 3?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on March 16?
864 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-228.53
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 16?
750 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-198.16
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.10 February 9-15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals
9 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?$130.01Aug 14, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)$1.04Aug 14, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$7.35Aug 14, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$124.11Aug 14, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$124.00Jul 10, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$5.08Jul 10, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?$128.13Jul 10, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?$128.00Jun 30, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$8.72Jun 30, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$11.81Jun 30, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 1?$12.42Jun 30, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$15.02Jun 30, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$16.23Jun 30, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$64.13Jun 30, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$64.00May 31, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$6.84May 31, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$11.80May 31, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 1?$12.40May 31, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$95.10May 31, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$95.00May 30, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $85.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 07:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 10:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.