0x0130e97274d6c3f0bfd35aa1b3d231856bced0f8
0x0130e97274d6c3f0bfd35aa1b3d231856bced0f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$135.52
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-91.85
Win rate
0%
150 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 19?
51 shares @ 53.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$34.42
$7.59
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 19?
51 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$26.32
$-0.51
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23?
53 shares @ 51.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$20.76
$-6.04
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 18?
48 shares @ 56.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$19.69
$-7.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 19?
44 shares @ 61.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$15.04
$-11.94
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 19?
26 shares @ 51.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$12.35
$-1.05
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 18?
25 shares @ 54.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.10
$-9.32
- NO
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 94.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.84
$0.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 4?
109 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-56.70
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 July 13-19?
103 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-56.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 19?$13.86Aug 18, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 19?$27.71Aug 17, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23?$27.72Aug 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 19?$27.71Aug 17, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 18?$27.72Aug 17, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 19?$27.72Aug 17, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 16?$30.30Aug 16, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 16?$21.44Aug 16, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 15?$19.93Aug 15, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 15?$43.35Aug 15, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 15?$23.21Aug 15, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 14?$48.02Aug 14, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 14?$48.85Aug 14, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 13?$22.47Aug 13, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 13?$24.42Aug 13, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 13?$22.11Aug 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 14?$27.72Aug 13, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 12?$23.15Aug 13, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?$27.72Aug 12, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?$25.77Aug 12, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
65/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 150 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
150 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $20.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 150 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.