Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Probability
47¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.7pp
24h Vol
$72.00
Liquidity
$3.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+26.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 47¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $3.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:13PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.9pp
to 47¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.9pp
to 47¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 47¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.3pp
to 47¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 47¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.9pp
to 46¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.9pp
to 46¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 45¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.7pp
to 45¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.3pp
to 45¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.2pp
to 45¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.8pp
to 45¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.2pp
to 45¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.0pp
to 44¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.9pp
to 44¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.7pp
to 44¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.7pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.7pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.6pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.6pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.7pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.4pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.6pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.6pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.6pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.2pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.8pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.3pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.8pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.2pp
to 41¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
13- 74¢-2.0pp
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 19¢+3.0pp
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 3¢+0.1pp
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-17.6pp
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $49.73
- 9¢+1.8pp
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $22.22
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.8M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.5M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 1¢-1.2pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.3M
- 100¢+35.4pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).