Waterlogged-Tractor
0x0150489d4b673f36e8faad13ae632d302e306784
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$60.87
Total PnL
$-274.62
Realised
$25.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- OPENAI
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.50
$1.50
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
97 shares @ 10.3¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.84
$-13.16
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.64
$-16.36
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
300 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-59.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 in November?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27May 29, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?$20.62May 29, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?$20.64May 29, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$20.70May 29, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$20.81May 29, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$10.87Dec 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$19.13Dec 19, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$199.87Dec 3, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$50.00Nov 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$50.00Nov 20, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$96.00Nov 20, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$26.10Nov 17, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.60Nov 15, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$2.02Nov 10, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$2.15Nov 10, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$3.17Nov 10, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$2.59Nov 10, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$12.42Nov 10, 05:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 19:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".