0x019b7385d37e6f509593c56e7a4fa43dfccdfddb
0x019b7385d37e6f509593c56e7a4fa43dfccdfddb
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$9.35
Total PnL
$-546.75
Realised
$-36.65
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Revolut IPO before 2027?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.85
$-7.15
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
610 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-24.69
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
602 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-31.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
466 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
450 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.72
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
300 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$9.96Jul 16, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$3.90Jul 16, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$74.25Jul 16, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$4.94Jul 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$9.96Jul 16, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$20.97Jul 16, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$20.94Jul 16, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Will England win on 2026-07-15?$6.99Jul 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?$3.45Jul 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?$3.76Jul 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?$8.06Jul 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$16.95Jul 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$18.70Jul 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$3.17Jun 26, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$29.19Jun 26, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.05Jun 18, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.81Jun 18, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$5.00Jun 18, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.06Jun 18, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$4.46Jun 18, 19:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $18.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 08:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.